Biotech ETFs XBI and IBB are outperforming so far this year. It’s not too surprising if you use Stage Analysis since we know that bear markets are authors of bull markets, and biotech was one of the worst performing sectors of 2016. I take a look at XBI and IBB from a Stage Analysis perspective in this video and discuss what I’m looking for as the second quarter of 2017 starts.
At the end of last week I had a great opportunity to interview with Collin Kettell of Palisade Radio. In the interview we discussed a wide range of topics including:
- The Stage 2 breakout in uranium that occurred back in December 2016
- How bull markets typically have an explosive start and finish
- How I use Stage Analysis to identify and trade bull markets
- The strengths and weaknesses of trend following systems
- How the bull market in gold from 2016 started to fail at the end of the year
- Other new bull markets besides uranium I’m looking at currently
Collin has done a lot of great interviews with other experts in the uranium space that I would highly recommend checking out at palisaderadio.com.
Valeant Pharmaceuticals is a great example of why I switched my trading philosophy to trend following from an approach that more heavily used fundamental analysis. I’ve found over the years that big problems in either an individual stock or and index of stocks are hard to diagnose and determine the best course of action using pure fundamental analysis. Often you find that buying a dip in an emerging bear market can lead to disaster and big losses. Trend following using Stage Analysis provides simple rules that can be followed to avoid big downtrends whether they are in an individual stock or an index of stocks.
In this video I go over the ongoing pullback in the uranium sector from a Stage Analysis perspective. I also discuss the second ideal buy point in Stage Analysis which is the pullback that often happens to the breakout level when a market first moves into a Stage 2 bull market.
In this video I take a look at the TD Ameritrade IMX which is meant to show investor sentiment based up real trading activity within TD Ameritrade accounts. The interesting thing about this index is that it has shown how market volatility and corrections have a more significant impact on sentiment than rallies. This provides a wall of worry that the bull market has climbed to make new highs while keeping sentiment from becoming too euphoric.