In this video I respond to a reader question about using the Stage Analysis Screener to trade stock market indexes. In particular the reader was interested in the TSX, so I focus on that index. The Stage Analysis Screener is very useful for understanding the trend of a market, breadth of an index, and finding leadership sectors and leading stocks.
Happy Memorial Day to all NBT readers!
In this video I discuss the weak breadth that has occurred across the stock market since early March 2017. Weak breadth means that less stocks are participating in a market rally, which means that it’s harder to find a stock that’s outperforming the market. The market so far in 2017 has been led by large cap tech stocks and by the semiconductor industry groups that have been in strong Stage 2 uptrends since the middle of 2016.
In the second part of the video I go over the importance of not chasing overextended stocks that are far away from the 30-week moving average. This can lead to losses and occurs because traders lack discipline to wait for a better buy point after the stock has consolidated for a while.
In this video I take a look at recent action in the uranium and gold sectors and some bullish developments for each sector. I also discuss two stock market sectors that I think could outperform as we continue into 2017.
At the end of last week I had a great opportunity to interview with Collin Kettell of Palisade Radio. In the interview we discussed a wide range of topics including:
- The Stage 2 breakout in uranium that occurred back in December 2016
- How bull markets typically have an explosive start and finish
- How I use Stage Analysis to identify and trade bull markets
- The strengths and weaknesses of trend following systems
- How the bull market in gold from 2016 started to fail at the end of the year
- Other new bull markets besides uranium I’m looking at currently
Collin has done a lot of great interviews with other experts in the uranium space that I would highly recommend checking out at palisaderadio.com.
Valeant Pharmaceuticals is a great example of why I switched my trading philosophy to trend following from an approach that more heavily used fundamental analysis. I’ve found over the years that big problems in either an individual stock or and index of stocks are hard to diagnose and determine the best course of action using pure fundamental analysis. Often you find that buying a dip in an emerging bear market can lead to disaster and big losses. Trend following using Stage Analysis provides simple rules that can be followed to avoid big downtrends whether they are in an individual stock or an index of stocks.